Gujarat Election: With whom will Muslims support in Gujarat, how were the results in Muslim majority seats in 2017 and 2012?

Thursday was the last date for filing nominations for the Gujarat Assembly elections. With this the candidates for all the seats were decided. Candidates of the second phase will be able to withdraw their names till November 21. After this the picture of the election battle will be completely clear.

This time in Gujarat, the Aam Aadmi Party is trying to make the contest triangular. At the same time, Asaduddin Owaisi is also trying to break into many seats. There are about 9 to 10 percent Muslim voters in the state. There are more than 30 assembly seats where the number of Muslim voters is more than 15 percent. In 20 of these, this number is more than 20 percent. In such a situation, the question is arising that after all, whom will the Muslims support in Gujarat this time? What were the results on these seats in the last elections. How much will AAP and AIMIM be able to make a dent in these voters? Let’s understand…

How has been the representation of Muslim MLAs in Gujarat so far?

There are about 10 percent Muslims in Gujarat. From this point of view, there can be about 18 MLAs in the state assembly in terms of population. However, the number of Muslim MLAs has never exceeded seven in any assembly of Gujarat. In 2017, three Muslim candidates had won and became MLAs. All three won on Congress ticket. On the other hand, only two Muslim candidates were successful in winning the 2012 assembly elections.

Which party has fielded how many Muslim candidates?

The Congress has fielded six Muslim candidates in the current elections. Among them Aslam Cyclewala from Surat East, Mohammad Javed Peerzada from Wankaner, Mamdbhai Jung Jat from Abdas seat, Suleman Patel from Wagra, Gyasuddin Shaikh from Dariapur seat, Imran Khedawala from Jamalpur Khadia. The Aam Aadmi Party has made three Muslim faces its candidates. Taj Qureshi from Dariyapur, Sajid Rehan from Jambsur and Harun Nagori from Jamalpur Khedia have been given tickets. AIMIM, which has announced to contest elections on 30 seats, has fielded candidates on 14 seats till November 16. Of these, 12 are Muslims.

Where can Muslim voters go?

Journalist Virang Bhatt says, ‘In the last elections, Muslim voters have been more inclined towards the Congress. This time the fight has become interesting with your arrival. The contest could be more interesting in the seats where AIMIM has fielded candidates. If there is a split in Muslim votes, then BJP can get its benefit.

On which seats is the influence of Muslim voters?

According to the 2011 census, the total Muslim population in Gujarat is about 10 percent. In Bhuj and Bharuch districts, the number of Muslims is more than 20 per cent. At the same time, Muslims are in a decisive role in seats like Vejalpur, Dariyapur, Jamalpur Khadia and Danilimda in Ahmedabad. There are a total of twenty seats where the population of Muslim voters is more than 20 per cent. Of these, four are in Ahmedabad, three each in Bhuj and Bharuch districts.

Jamalpur Khadia is the only seat in Gujarat where Muslim voters are more than 50 per cent. Muslim voters constitute 61 percent of the total voters here. Apart from this, there are 48% Muslim voters in Danilimda, 46% in Dariyapur, 44% in Wagra, 38% in Bharuch, 35% in Vejalpur, 35% in Bhuj, 31% in Jambusar, 28% in Bapunagar and 26% in Limbayat. In 2017, out of these ten seats with the highest Muslim population, five seats were won by the BJP and five by the Congress. Talking about 2012, the BJP had won eight out of these ten seats. Whereas, the Congress had to be content with just two seats.

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